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If the Fed lowers interest rates this year, it'll likely be because of bad news. Here's why | CNN Business


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Rising unemployment will likely be what pulls the trigger for the Federal Reserve to finally begin lowering interest rates again, economists say.

The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the current interest rates at its June meeting, keeping the federal funds rate at a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. This decision reflects the Fed's ongoing efforts to balance inflation control with economic growth, as inflation has shown signs of cooling but remains above the target of 2%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the central bank is prepared to adjust rates if necessary, but for now, they will continue to monitor economic indicators closely. The decision was widely anticipated by market analysts, who noted that recent economic data suggests a cautious approach is warranted. Powell also highlighted the strength of the labor market and consumer spending, indicating that the economy is performing well despite the high interest rates.

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[ https://www.cnn.com/2025/06/18/economy/fed-rate-decision-june ]

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