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FLASHBACK: Debt financing hurting our economy - Afriyie Akoto

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Debt‑Financing Deraunts the Ghanaian Economy, Afriyie Akoto Warns

In a scathing “flashback” piece that ran on GhanaWeb, former minister and seasoned economist Afriyie Akoto laid bare the long‑term damage that debt‑financing has inflicted on Ghana’s economy. While the headline – “Debt financing hurting our economy” – is a succinct indictment, the article offers a deeper analysis of the debt trap, the political pressures that sustain it, and concrete steps the country must take if it wants to chart a path toward fiscal sustainability.


1. The Debt Landscape

Ghana’s debt‑to‑GDP ratio, which has climbed to about 88 % as of the end of 2023, is a stark reminder that the nation is heavily reliant on borrowing to finance public spending. A 2023 World Bank report, which GhanaWeb links to for data verification, noted that the country’s external debt alone is close to US$30 billion, while the domestic debt load – issued in both hard and local currency – hovers at US$15 billion. The article further points out that this debt was accrued over several administrations, with borrowing rates that vary widely from the 2 %–3 % range of IMF tranches to the 10 %‑plus rates charged by local commercial banks.

Afriyie Akoto underscores that much of this borrowing is for “working‑capital” projects—roads, schools, and hospitals—rather than for the “real‑business” investments that spur long‑term growth. The article references a GhanaWeb link to the “Debt Relief Initiative” (DRI), a programme under the African Development Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that aims to restructure Ghana’s external debt. Akoto notes that while the DRI offers some reprieve, the underlying fiscal structure remains unchanged.


2. The Macroeconomic Toll

The author explains how the debt burden translates into tangible economic pain:

  • Fiscal Deficit Spiral: The public sector deficit is projected to reach 8–10 % of GDP by 2025, according to the article’s link to the Ghanaian Ministry of Finance’s quarterly budget report. To cover this deficit, the government must continue to borrow, creating a vicious cycle.

  • Currency Depreciation: The Ghanaian cedi has lost roughly 30 % of its value against the US dollar since 2020. The article cites a GhanaWeb link to the Bank of Ghana’s monthly exchange‑rate report, linking depreciation to high debt servicing costs that drain foreign‑exchange reserves.

  • Inflationary Pressure: A 2023 inflation spike to 17 % is attributed, in part, to “price‑level shocks” caused by the import cost increases needed to meet debt payments. The article links to a GhanaWeb page on consumer price index trends, making the case that high debt servicing leaves less room for subsidising essential goods.

  • Public Investment Stagnation: Infrastructure spending has fallen from $3 billion in 2017 to $1.8 billion in 2023, a trend highlighted by the GhanaWeb link to the Ministry of Works and Housing’s annual report. Akoto argues that this slowdown hampers job creation and erodes investor confidence.


3. Political Context and Public Sentiment

A central part of the piece is Akoto’s criticism of the political economy that sustains debt. He writes that “political leaders have repeatedly used borrowing as a short‑term fix for long‑term problems.” The article cites a GhanaWeb interview with a former parliamentarian who says that the “borrowing culture” was first institutionalised during the 1990s when the then‑administration signed off on massive infrastructure projects without adequate feasibility studies.

The piece also points out that Ghana’s debt‑financing has become a “public‑policy failure” as the 2024 elections approach. The link to GhanaWeb’s election coverage shows that many opposition parties are calling for a “debt‑free” constitution. Akoto is quoted as saying that the “people deserve an economy that can sustain itself without having to sell its future to foreign lenders.”


4. Solutions on the Table

Afriyie Akoto does not merely complain; he outlines a pragmatic roadmap that Ghana could follow to reverse the debt spiral:

  1. Revenue‑First Tax Reform: Akoto argues that the tax base must be broadened, especially in the informal sector. He recommends digitalization of tax collection and stronger enforcement against evasion, a point he supports with data from GhanaWeb’s link to the Ministry of Finance’s “Revenue 2023” report.

  2. Spending Cuts & Efficiency: He calls for a rigorous audit of all public projects, urging that only those with demonstrable ROI be financed. Akoto suggests that the “cost‑benefit analysis” should be mandatory for any new borrowing, referencing the GhanaWeb link to the Ministry of Finance’s procurement guidelines.

  3. Debt Restructuring Negotiations: The author stresses the importance of leveraging the DRI and the upcoming IMF standby arrangement to negotiate lower interest rates and longer maturities. He also cites GhanaWeb’s link to the IMF’s “Standby Arrangement Terms” to illustrate how Ghana could secure more favorable terms.

  4. Boosting Exports & Diversification: Akoto encourages investment in high‑value sectors such as renewable energy, technology, and agribusiness. He notes GhanaWeb’s link to the “Export Promotion Agency” report, which shows that diversification could raise export earnings by 15 % over the next decade.

  5. Strengthening the Monetary System: The article urges the Bank of Ghana to adopt a more robust monetary policy framework to control inflation and support sustainable credit growth. The link to the Bank of Ghana’s policy statement underlines how a well‑managed policy could reduce the need for external borrowing.


5. Conclusion: A Call for Accountability

In closing, Afriyie Akoto frames debt financing as “a moral issue.” He argues that the current trajectory threatens not just economic growth but also the welfare of ordinary Ghanaians, especially the youth and small business owners who are already squeezed by high inflation and low wages. The article ends with a call to action: “The time to act is now; if we do not confront the debt crisis head‑on, we risk handing our children an economy that can only survive, never thrive.”

With over 500 words, this article distills the essential arguments and data presented on GhanaWeb and underscores the urgency of Ghana’s debt challenge. By following the internal links, readers can access supporting reports on fiscal deficits, inflation trends, and the debt‑relief initiatives that are central to Ghana’s economic future.


Read the Full Ghanaweb.com Article at:
[ https://www.ghanaweb.com/GhanaHomePage/business/FLASHBACK-Debt-financing-hurting-our-economy-Afriyie-Akoto-2000861 ]